Twins vs Mariners MLB Betting Pick

Twins vs Mariners MLB Betting Pick

For those looking to bet on baseball, we’ve got a solid Thursday afternoon baseball matchup as the Seattle Mariners head to Target Field to take on the Minnesota Twins. If you’re looking for sharp action, this Twins vs Mariners MLB Betting Pick has value written all over it.

Seattle enters at 41-38, winning 7 of their last 11, but still trailing Houston by five games in the AL West. That said, they’re coming off a rough one after just three hits and 11 strikeouts in a 2-0 shutout loss last night in Minnesota. The bats went ice cold, which is something to factor in when breaking down this rubber match.

Stick with us all season long for more winning MLB betting insights and picks that actually help you beat the number.

Twins vs Mariners MLB Game Info

  • Date and Time: 06/26/2025 at 1:10 PM ET
  • Location: Target Field
  • Watch on: MLB Network, Fubo, MNNT or Root Sports NW for regional viewers

Twins vs Mariners NFL Betting Odds

Team Pointspread Total MoneyLine
Seattle Mariners  -1.5 (+162)  O8.5 (-120) +102
Minnesota twins  +1.5 (-196)  U8.5 (-102)  -120

*MLB Betting Odds courtesy of BetOnline.ag

Twins vs Mariners Prediction and Analysis for 06-26/2025

Twins vs Mariners Prediction and Analysis for 06-26/2025

Seattle Mariners Betting Breakdown:

The Mariners come into this one sitting at 41-38, and they’ve taken two of the first three games in this series. They lit it up in Game 1 with an 11-2 blowout and followed it up with a tight 6-5 win, before getting blanked 2-0 in Game 3. Don’t let the shutout fool you as the pitching held its own. George Kirby tossed 6 strong innings, giving up just 1 earned run on 3 hits. Reliever Bazardo allowed one more run, but the real issue was the bats going cold with just 3 hits total.

Rodriguez, Arozarena, and Young were the only ones to register knocks, each going 1-for-3. So while the offense disappeared, the arms showed up, which matters if you’re looking at totals or pitching matchups moving forward.

Zooming out, the M’s just took 2 of 3 from the Cubs before this series, but dropped 2 of 3 to Boston prior to that. Overall, they’ve won 3 of their last 4 and are holding down second place in the AL West. Not bad for a team that’s still struggling to put it all together consistently.

From a betting perspective, Seattle’s pitching has been solid. They’ve posted a team ERA of 3.95 with a 1.27 WHIP and are holding opponents to a .248 average. Offensively, they’ve scored 364 runs while hitting .247 with a .324 OBP—not elite, but serviceable.

Cal Raleigh is the big bat with 32 bombs and 69 RBIs, while Jorge Polanco has chipped in with 11 HRs and 36 RBIs. They’ve got power, but it’s streaky.

Pitching Preview:

Seattle’s expected starter is Emerson Hancock. He’s been a mixed bag sitting at 3-3 with a bloated 5.43 ERA and 1.43 WHIP across 66.1 innings. He’s got talent, but he’s struggled with command and tends to give up crooked numbers when he gets behind in counts.

Minnesota Twins Betting Breakdown:

The Twins finally got back in the win column Wednesday night, taking Game 3 of the series 2-0 behind a strong pitching performance and just enough timely offense. Minnesota pushed across a run in both the sixth and seventh innings, and while the bats were quiet (just four hits total), they made it count. Castro and Clemens each drove in a run, while Joe Ryan delivered six shutout innings, giving up just three hits. Duran came in to lock down the save.

But don’t let one win distract from the bigger picture as Minnesota’s been ice cold. The Twins have dropped 11 of their last 13 and are stuck in fourth place in the AL Central. Before this series, they were swept by the Brewers and lost two of three to the Reds. Momentum is not on their side.

For those that use baseball sabermetrics to make their predictions, the pitching staff has been decent, sitting with a 4.22 ERA, 1.25 WHIP, and a .247 opponent batting average. Offensively, though, it’s been rough. They’ve scored 337 runs on the year while hitting .242 with a .312 OBP which is below league average across the board.

Byron Buxton is the main power threat with 17 bombs and 47 RBIs, while Trevor Larnach has chipped in 11 homers and 36 RBIs. There’s pop in the lineup, but consistency is the issue.

On the mound tonight: Minnesota hands the ball to Simeon Woods Richardson. He’s 2-4 with a 5.06 ERA and a 1.46 WHIP through 53.1 innings. He’s shown flashes, but overall he’s been hittable and struggles with command. Something Seattle’s lineup could take advantage of if they show up early.

Handicapper’s Edge:

The Twins are a tough team to back right now with the form they’re in. Their pitching has kept them afloat, but the offense just isn’t delivering. With Woods Richardson on the hill, the edge leans toward Seattle. Especially if you’re looking at the moneyline or first five markets.

Twins vs Mariners MLB Betting Pick  

 

Ok, I’m gonna go against a lot of great sports handicapping experts on this one. This is because Minnesota third baseman Royce Lewis (hamstring) has started change-of-direction running drills and is eyeing a return to the lineup in early July. That’s a big piece potentially coming back for a Twins offense that’s been middle of the pack so far.

Through 79 games, Seattle sits 8th in OPS and 12th in total runs—solid production, especially considering their streaky offense. Meanwhile, Minnesota ranks 16th in OPS and 17th in runs scored, which lines up with what we’ve seen: a team that struggles to generate consistent offense and relies heavily on pitching to stay competitive.

Therefore, I predict that Twins will take the win at home will win but not cover the spread with a final score of 5-4.

Bet on the Minnesota Twins at -120

Bet on Baseball with BetOnline.ag and get a 50% Welcome Bonus