NFL Win Totals Betting Prediction: Minnesota Vikings


NFL Win Totals Betting Prediction: Minnesota VikingsThe Minnesota Vikings found themselves in the postseason once again, upsetting the Saints in the Wild Card round before falling to the 49ers the next week. Now in head coach Mike Zimmer’s seventh season with the team, the Vikings will aim to improve off of a 10-6 finish and make the playoffs for the third time in four seasons.

According to odds-makers At Scoresandstats, Minnesota’s over/under win total is set at 9. So let’s take a look at how the offseason has gone for the Vikings, as well as what their schedule in the fall looks like, before giving our pick for the over or under.

Offseason Summary

The Vikings made most of their actuations through the draft, so free agency was fairly quiet for them. Their biggest signing was a three-year deal for Ravens DT Michael Pierce, who will make about $9 million per year. They also signed Titans WR Tajae Sharpe and 49ers DE Anthony Zettel to one-year contracts each. But that doesn’t mean Minnesota didn’t spend money.

They gave QB Kirk Cousins a two-year extension worth over $60 million, placed the franchise tag on S Anthony Harris, and re-signed both K Dan Bailey and P Britton Colquitt to three-year deals.

Due to an effort to save money and get younger, Minnesota said goodbye to several notable players. The biggest loss was WR Stefon Diggs, who they traded to the Bills for several draft picks including a first round pick this year. The team cut veteran DT Linval Joseph and CB Xavier Rhodes, who signed with the Chargers and Colts, respectively, and also cut OG Josh Kline just one year after signing a multi-year deal. As far as planned free agents, CBs Trae Waynes and Mackensie Alexander each departed for the Bengals, while S Andrew Sendejo signed with the Browns. Along the defensive line, DE Stephen Weatherly joined the Panthers, while DE Everton Griffin remains unsigned after 10 seasons with Minnesota. Other losses include WR Laquon Treadwell, S Jayron Kearse, CB Marcus Sherels and LB Kentrell Brothers.

As mentioned earlier, the Vikings did a lot of their acquisitions through the draft, walking away from the weekend with 15 selections. In the first round, they managed to replace Diggs with LSU WR Justin Jefferson and replenished their cornerback group with TCU CB Jeff Gladney. They added more future starters on day 2 with Boise State OT Ezra Cleveland and Mississippi State CB Cameron Dantzler. Minnesota stayed very busy the next day, spending the majority of their remaining selections on defense. Among the notable selections were South Carolina DE D.J. Wonnum and Oregon LB Troy Dye in round four, Temple CB Harrison Hand and Miami WR K.J. Osborn in round five, and Michigan State DE Kenny Willekes in round seven.

2020 Schedule

Minnesota will square off against each of their NFC North rivals two times, while also matching up with the teams in the NFC South and AFC South. Plus, as second place finishers last season, they’ll also play the Seahawks and Cowboys. Overall, it’s a schedule that ranks as the 10th-toughest according to the strength of schedule rankings, with their opponents combining for a .516 winning percentage in 2019. Only the Lions have a tougher draw than the Vikings within the division.

The Vikings will be tested right away with a home game against the Packers to begin the season. They’ll then battle the bulk of the AFC South with games at the Colts, versus the Titans, and at the Texans, before traveling to Seattle to play the Seahawks on Sunday night. Following a Week 7 bye, they’ll open up against Green Bay once again, except this time on the road. They’ll see the Lions and Bears next, the latter of which will be Monday night at Soldier Field. A few weeks later and following a stretch of three consecutive home games, Minnesota ends their year with a road game against the Buccaneers, a home matchup with Chicago, a trip to New Orleans for a playoff rematch against the Saints, and finally a road game at Detroit.


Even though the Vikings lost some key players this offseason, there is still a fair amount of talent on both sides of the football. RB Dalvin Cook and WR Adam Thielen are each among the best at their respective positions, combining with Cousins to give Minnesota a formidable trio on offense. On defense, DE Danielle Hunter is one of the best d-linemen in football, and LB Anthony Barr and S Harrison Smith are both guys who play at a consistently high level.

So will the Vikings finish with over or under 9 wins this season? Well for starters, they haven’t won fewer than eight games since going 7-9 back in 2014. There’s also reason to think that they’ll do better against the NFC North this year, especially with Green Bay primed to regress, after 2-4 in the division in 2019. While the road schedule is tough, I think the Vikings stand the best chance of winning the division this year, so I’m taking OVER 9 wins.

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